How can the Torahs idealistic instruction to cease agricultural labor for one year every seven apply to a 24/7 post-industrial reality? We are asking for your ideas too. This information couldve been doctored or misrepresented by the internet. The Shmita year starts every 7th year on Elul 29 on the Biblical Calendar on the Feast of Trumpets. warning from God to come back to Him but the leaders of America quoted Isaiah 9:10 in defiance. https://www.instagram.com/chrismitchell_bitcoinadvizers/Get a free investor guide at: https://bitcoinadvizers.com/ How to set up a Trading View for free: https://youtu.be/oEzxwWiQdCYTrading View Affiliate Discount Link: https://www.tradingview.com/gopro/?shAndroid link: https://play.google.com/store/apps/deIOS link: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/bitcoin ***NOT FINANCIAL, LEGAL, OR TAX ADVICE! then I will so order My blessing for you in the sixth year that it will bring forth the crop for three years. Thus, in the year after the 7th Shemitah, which was in the 50th year or the first year of the next Shemitah cycle, the Jubilee would be celebrated. The economy of the world thus feeds on greed, power, and debt, and many people, companies, and countries couldnt function at their current standard of living without these vices. Since God is the true source of all that we havefood, material goods, property, money, and everything elsea cessation of work forced the people into a time of complete faith and dependence on Him. Exodus 23:11. So I was surprised to see, sitting right there on the Hudson best-seller shelves, a volume with the word Shmita screaming off the cover in raised gold letters. Note: All returns assume a change in price and include dividend payouts (not reinvested). In a personal communication with Adrian Zenz, he told me, from the empirical economic evidence it is impossible to demonstrate or prove a Shemitah effect, as shown also by the low explanatory power scores in my statistical testing, based on different Shemitah time periods. This type of downward pressure on the global financial system may also cause the rise and fall of empires and countries, as economic upheavals often cause major political power shifts. The prideful building of the Tower of Babel brought judgment. Please note that the posts on The Blogs are contributed by third parties. 1966, was dedicated in the Shmita of 1973 and destroyed in the Shmita of 2001. While it had moved moderately higher since the start of the new year, shares of Nikola ( NKLA 1.35%) are driving lower, resulting in the stock landing in the red so far for 2023 . 1901-1902 Year of Shemitah - Stock market drops almost 50%. , where I wrote about a financial crisis, much worse than the one in 2008. This is like concluding that everyone who breaths, dies; thus, breathing is the cause of death. This is what he wrote in Exodus: You shall sow your land for six years and gather in its yield, but on the seventh year you shall let it rest and lie fallow, so that the needy of your people may eat; and whatever they leave the beast of the field may eat. The year 2022 on the Jewish calendar is a Shmita yearhistorically considered to be a year of rest, or sabbatical, following six years of work. America is the most powerful nation in the history of the world. After dropping 33% in 2022, the Nasdaq Composite Index got off to a strong start in 2023, rising 17% between the start of the year and Feb. 2. We are coming into a new Shemitah year. Therefore, the principle of the Shemitah remained in effect even if Israel tried to eliminate it from their lives and culture. Thus, the Lord kept them away from their land in judgment for a full 70 years to allow the land to rest for the 70 Shemitahs that Israel ignored. This year is a different story. They year also strands for debt forgiveness to break debt cycles. Its a year ending in 2 and a Shmita year on the Jewish calendar, both of which have been associated with far below average stock market returns. Lets have a look a couple of examples of stock markets crashes which fell all in Shemitah years. Seeing that the Shemitah Effect includes a year-long event related to the cessation of the agricultural market and an end-of-year effect related to the remission of debt (end-of-year in the Jewish Civil Calendar being in the September-October time frame in the Gregorian Calendar), if there exists any broader impact on the worlds economy this might be reflected in economic downturns during and immediately after these periods. The beginning of the Jubilee year would be marked by the sounding of a rams horn on the Day of Atonement (Yom Kippur). It's a short list of events that have corresponded with the shemita since 1900: 1901-1902 - 46% of the US stock market value wiped out. What this movement has not yet done is to produce compelling economic thought on how the values and ideas of shmita might inform economic policy in Israel or beyond. If this force really exists, it might actually impact the valuation of stock markets, investments, and currencies on a recurring basis. When you approach the end, you will see how things correspond to the world today. Im afraid I succumbed to a momentary spasm of writer-envy. 1965-1966 Shmita Year - 23% stock market value wiped out. The cherry-picking effect is often the outcome of seeing a pattern related to some phenomenon or data set, but not going further to rigorously analyze the data in the proper way to see if it is real. You are to do the same with your vineyard and your olive grove.. ", "Come, let us build ourselves a city, and a tower whose top is in the heavens; let us make a God's calendar (opposite) intersects with two of our Gregorian years. One method of looking at a potential Shemitah Effect on the Dow Jones Average is to attempt to correlate the major point drops or percent changes in the stock market to a Shemitah year or its wake. God commands rest on the seventh day - Sabbath. I was on a tour of Jewish America to promote a just-published book on shmita. Lets see. This year Sukkot has an added dimension, as it falls during the seventh year of our agricultural cycle, Shmita. The biggest Wall Street crash of 1987 happened during Shemitah and so did the bond market carnage of 1994. By AARON KATSMAN Published:. However, the nations of the world and their economic systems dont follow God or his Laws; thus, there are many more negative effects on the global economic system than just the Shemitah. I call this proposition the Shemitah Effect, after a Biblical law and the Jewish name that is used to describe it. All performance results have been compiled solely by Reppond Investments, Inc. and are from sources we believe to be reliable. The Shemitah cycle is not the only cycle you can use for price predictions in Bitcoin and the stock markets. As Israel implodes, does nobody in Netanyahus Likud have the guts to defy him? "But the seventh year thou shall let it rest For instance, there were significant declines in 2003 and 2011 that were both in the middle of the subsequent Shemitah cycles and did not correspond to the Shemitah years or their wakes. Why stocks. German, Austro-Hungarian, The US has inherited the Biblical blessings and curses. From these historical lessons, it can be said that the Shemitah can either be a blessing or a curse, depending on whether the nation followed God and these laws. For every seventh cycle of shemita, it tells of a yubilee-year; a kind of a restart where, among other things, debts are to be erased. Unfortunately, markets have frequently taken this suggestion quite literally! Shmita, Cahan writes is, about taking a break from the madcap pursuit of wealth and acknowledging that it's all from God. These graphs can easily be superimposed with the Shemitah years to see if there are any major correlating effects relative to the U.S. economy (the U.S. economy being the largest single financial entity in the world and a good indicator of global economic trends). In this article I want to have a look at the Shemitah Cycle also known as the 7-year cycle. How about a rest that lasts 12 months? However, Reppond Investments, Inc. makes no representations or guarantees with respect to the accuracy or completeness of that type of data.Past performance is not indicative of future results. This was true regardless of how much debt was still owed or how many payments on the loan had or had not been made. On January 6th, I published my Predictions for 2022, where I wrote about a financial crisis, much worse than the one in 2008. 1937-1938 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. Adrian Zenz performed a more rigorous statistical analysis of the Shemitah Effect in a paper published in August, 2015 (see http://bit.ly/1LNdeKE). This was before the war in Ukraine and the exponential price growth of several crucial commodities, which are all said to be consequences of the war. For the author, the United States of America is Gods true chosen nation with which God made a new covenant. BGC Partners, Inc. (Nasdaq: BGCP) ("BGC"), a leading global brokerage and financial technology company, today reported its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2022. And the Torahs idea of shmita can teach us plenty about financial bubbles and economic cycles, whatever you think of Cahans take on the freaky coincidences. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. A loss for the world: Israeli-American Elan Ganeles, killed by terrorists, buried. Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Nasdaq: RIGL) today announced that it will report its fourth quarter and full year 2022 financial results after market close on Tuesday, March 7, 2023. The charts can span most of the Twentieth Century and, as of this writing, up to October 2015 in this century. Is there a principle that has been functioning for decades and perhaps even for centuries, which affects the global political and economic systems and causes periodic recessions or depressions? Although this represents a majority of Shemitah years over this time frame, the remaining ones which occurred in 1923-1924, 1944-1945, 1951-1952, 1958-1959, 1979-1980, and 1993-1994 represent times when the market either grew or stayed mostly unchanged. If that was the case, the servant would be released from his service at the end of the Shemitah year, thus providing a way to free such slaves every seven years. What this meant is that any person or family that sold their property to another Hebrew would get their property back at the end of every 7 Shemitahs. land and that which was built up was wiped away. His Hidden Secrets of Money is a great input to your own thought process. Whats different this time, is the number of things that are affected by the ongoing crisis. (photo credit: AP Photo/Tsafrir Abayov). JUST OPINION! Also, the value of property or farm land being sold was to be prorated relative to the time left before the next Year of Jubilee. Personally, this series was an eye-opener. a 40,000 pound "hewn" foundation stone. In Deuteronomy 15:4, the Lord even promised that there would be no poor among them if they followed these basic Shemitah principles. For instance, the Ten Commandments clearly have important application to all people throughout all time, not just to the Jews and the nation of Israel. Same same and no big change. If the rise of a The easiest thing is to follow the crowd or ask a financial advisor. Here are examples of stock market crashes that occurred during Shemitah years, 1901-1902 Year of Shemitah - Stock market drops almost 50%. The aftereffects of a Shemitah year should continue to be felt during the first year of the next Shemitah cycle, because the debt release occurs on the last day of the year. The Sabbath year or Shemitah was not only to include a cessation of agricultural activity, but also an elimination of debt within the economy. 1972-1973 Shmita Year - 48% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. Our Major Trend Index has four factor categories, and three of them (Valuation, Cyclical, Technical) remain negative. Thus, every year some seeds would drop to the ground during harvest and result in new plants growing the next year. But what does this have. Its going to be a very bumpy year until Sept 24-27 already look at the signs very volitale market, supply chain on last thread, oil prices through the roof ( US cannot sustained price of oil over $100 ) they are predicting $150-175 barell, famine in Africa, major drought in 3/4 of US . He said that once every seven years any Hebrews used as slaves among the people would have to be freed (Jeremiah 34:13-14). As we learned in the four sections on Daniels Prophecy of the Seventy Weeks and the section on The Scattering of Judah and Jerusalem, Israel was taken captive into Babylon for exactly 70 years to make up for the 707 years (490 years) that the Jews didnt follow the Shemitah for the land. The special Sabbath that occurs once every seven years became known as the Shemitah. You know, a lot of people are searching around for this info, you can help them greatly. Cahn has postulated that this principle is actually affecting the course of world events and especially the future of the United States and Israel as we move forward in the End Times. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost . Poor people are often disregarded and thus remain poor, while the wealthy continually try to get more wealth and power while ignoring the aftereffects. As you might expect, the occurrence of a super-Shemitah produced significant effects on the economy and on every Jewish citizen of Israel. blessings and power come only from God - without them they must eventually fall. 1901-1902 Shmita Year - 46% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. OK, we get poorer, but we dont really notice. We know that this is true, at least in theory. Despite expectations that the 2023 general elections will further dampen confidence in the Nigerian stock market, the market opened the week positive yesterday, extending gains from last week as the benchmark index closed by 0.69% to settle at 55,328.42 points.. More specifically, the Shmita comes from the bible, where it states: The seventh year shall be a Sabbath of solemn rest for the land, (Lev. Speak to the sons of Israel and say to them, When you come into the land which I shall give you, then the land shall have a sabbath to the Lord. The coming world leader, Antichrist rules from the revived Roman Empire of Europe and the Middle East in the last days (Dan 2:41,42, 7:24,25). 2000-2001 Shmita Year - 37% U.S. stock market value wiped out. name for ourselves" Genesis 11:4. idiot in office doubling down on freaking climate change, he will call for a National Climate Change emergency this fall right before elections then they can continue the narrative and cheat again to destroy our Nation. Is it a coincidence that nearly every economic panic or depression in the US has occurred during or right after a shmita year? In Leviticus, Moses said that the Year of Jubilee should be observed after every seven sets of seven-year Shemitah cycles. For example, there are many times during the past 115 years in which significant stock market declines occurred outside of a Shemitah year. To research the Shemitah Effect, we need only to look at the historical economic trends that have occurred over the last century or so and see if major downturns correlate to Shemitah years. The Shemitah of 2015 produced the worst year for the stock market in seven years, or since 2008 - the last Shemitah! Keynes, who was also a savvy investor, wrote in his General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (Chapter 12): Enterprise only pretends to itself to be mainly actuated by the statements in its own prospectus, however candid and sincere. The implication is that just as there is a rhythm to the work week whereby activity needs to be punctuated by periods of rest, so too, a parallel rhythm pertains over a seven year cycle; we need periods of rest and renewal. Not knowing what it was, I asked her. What happened. This widespread effect resulted in downturns or recessions built into Israels economy at regular intervals, which obviously had other consequences beyond just affecting farming families. But since then, the popular index is down a little . Greed and bad economic practices often lead to economic busts that have nothing to do with the Shemitah Effect or its timing. In this case, a strategy of simply choosing any non-Shemitah year for investment options, particularly early in a Shemitah cycle, and then getting out of the market before the next Shemitah year begins would be guaranteed to yield the largest continued gain on an ongoing basis. We are built to strive and struggle, to invest and innovate, to conceive and create for periods of around six years. 1916-1917 - 40% of the US stock market value wiped out. She said it was the last year of a seven-year cycle according to Jewish legend. In 2012, the Christian Rabbi Jonathan Cahn published a book entitled The Harbinger: The Ancient Mystery That Holds the Secret of Americas Future (Frontline Pub Inc). Downturns occur for many more reasons than a Shemitah Effect. Buy the Roomer Sell the news !Why stocks will crash 50% Here is why: watch the video!https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CzYwS-KXSNcFollow us on TikTok, IG or Twitter for daily content!TikTokhttps://www.tiktok.com/@bitcoinadvizeInstagramhttps://www.instagram.com/bitcoinadviTwitterhttps://twitter.com/BTCadvizersFollow My Personal Instagram Here: For Weekly Market Updates! 1930-1931 Shmita Year - 86% U.S stock market value wiped out in the worst financial crisis in modern history. Before moving to Israel he was as an economist in the UK government. Well, we dont really listen to them anymore not since the financial crisis but we still listen to the experts. This means, unfortunately that slumps and depressions are exaggerated in degree. With the most speculative year in U.S. stock market history drawing to a close, we could probably all use a rest. On the seventh year there was to be no sowing, or harvesting any crops whatsoever to let the land rest for one year (Leviticus 25:1-5). Looks like things are right on target. These data appear to indicate that a Shemitah Effect may indeed be real and affecting the worlds economy even when the Mosaic Law originally only applied to Israel. 3 And more than that, did the Lord actually build a fundamental property into the functioning of nations and societies that produces a type of Shemitah Effect even if the nations dont follow or even know about the Shemitah or the Law of Moses? United States enters WWI. The length of these cycles is reliably between six and nine years. In Leviticus we are given more information about this principle: The Lord then spoke to Moses at Mount Sinai, saying. In the year 2000-2001 we have seen the DOTCOM bubble pop. Major crashes in the stock market are correlated with the Shemitah years. If every Shemitah year resulted in an economic downturn and other years within the 7-year cycle did not, then it would be easy to predict future crashes and avoid them. (You can check the numbers and dates here, here and here.) Thus, although the economic busts that he relates to Shemitahs really did occur, the book leaves us with an incomplete picture of the actual statistical significance of the phenomenon. Written by John Ballard for The Motley Fool ->. The Shmita (judgment) and America converged on September 11, 2001 when the If Israel followed God, this two-year super-Shemitah would pose no problems for their food supply or for their economy. 1930-1931 Shmita Year - 86% U.S stock market value wiped out in the worst financial crisis in 1930-1931: The Great Depression, the worst financial crisis in human history. 1944-1945 Shmita Year - End of German Reich and Britain's hold on territories. But I do believe in a God who communicates with us through the Torah. However, we need to be cautious not to conclude anything with regard to the statistical significance of this result, because there are also negative data points within the graph. What is generally not known, however, is that this same principle of a weekly Sabbath observance was also extended to time frames involving years, not just days. The Shmita The beginning of American to rise to world power. This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. Through this and other laws, the Lord thus encouraged the people not to go into debt at all; however, if they did take a loan from another one of their Jewish brothers out of necessity, then the remaining unpaid debt would have to be forgiven at the end of the Shemitah year without requiring further payments or obligations. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. 1916 1917: Stock market drop 40% and many European countries are suffering an economic collapse. Yes, its a construction and as for all constructions affecting us, it might be a smart ting having a look at it in order to understand it. The current global economic system seeks to have continual growth with no room for Sabbath rests or Shemitahs. Whether you believe that the war is the source of all current problems or not, have a look at the table below. The Shemitah cycle became popular by the book The Mystery of The Shemitah by Rabbi Jonathan Cahn. The year of Shmita or Shemitah (meaning: letting go) also called the sabbatical year occurs every seventh September. name for ourselves", "Who say in pride and arrogance of heart: The bricks have fallen down, but we will rebuild with The new tower raised up from Ground Zero has Major important crashes in the stock market are correlated with the Shemitah years. Another important aspect of the Shemitah actually added to the effect of an agriculture-related downturn. It may be too late to soften the impact of the next crash, but lets have smarter economic minds start thinking now whether we can use this insight to make our economies more sustainable and resilient for the future. Note: In that same chapter of Deuteronomy quoted from above, the Lord permitted Israel to loan money to foreigners without remission of the debt at the end of the Shemitah; only debts between Hebrews were to be forgiven every seven years. From my perspective, its all quite weird. So you shall not wrong one another, but you shall fear your God; for I am the Lord your God.. Since he used every major upturn and downturn in the stock market, bond market, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the analysis, his conclusions were that there was very little statistical significance of the Shemitah Effect on these indicators. 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