The largest margin came in Pennsylvania, which (so far) has been the only Senate seat to change hands. All candidates, regardless of party affiliation, ran in a single primary. Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. Busch Valentine, the heiress of the Anheuser-Busch beer company, worked as a nurse. Four of the 34 seats up for election in 2022 changed party control the last time they were up for election. In 2016, Toomey won re-election against Katie McGinty (D) 49% to 47%. Rubio emphasized his Senate career; according to his campaign website, "As a U.S. The three top candidates to succeed Sen. Richard Burr in North Carolina have all denounced his vote to convict Trump in his last impeachment trial. In 2020, 40 incumbent members of Congress36 representatives and four senatorsdidn't seek re-election. Battleground races are highlighted in brighter colors. The following table provides an overview of the incumbent and candidates in 2022 Senate races. The firebrand MP has been one of the most vocal critics of pandemic restrictions, and quit a lucrative position as a chair of a parliamentary committee after urging parents to avoid getting their children vaccinated against COVID-19. I know shell fight for more dams and other infrastructure projects to improve water security for farmers, such as the hybrid Bradfield Scheme, and to reduce red and green tape we need to get out of farmers way and let them do what do best. Rubio was first elected to the Senate in 2010 to replace retiring incumbent Mel Martinez (R). Lisa Murkowski's father, Frank Murkowski (R), was a senator from 1981 to 2002, when he resigned to become governor of Alaska. He wrote, "I am so sick of this crime and chaos. Weve initiated inquiries into rural lending, family law and banking. In 2016the last time these 34 seats were up for regular electiontwo seats changed party hands. As of March 2023, there has been one special election for U.S. Senate scheduled for the 117th Congress. "[32] Based on pre-general election reports filed with the FEC, Masters cumulatively raised $12.3 million and spent $9.7 million. So a candidate who underperforms by even 2 or 3 percentage points let alone 5, 10 or more points will often cost their party the election. For more on candidates' backgrounds and key messages, see below. [56] Cortez Masto also said that if Laxalt was elected, Senate Republicans would seek to implement a national ban on abortion. Budd was first elected to North Carolina's 13th Congressional District in 2016 and was re-elected in 2018 and 2020. By contrast, the GOP will likely have more opportunities for pickups, as they can expect to challenge Democratic-held Senate seats in battleground states, such as Arizona, Georgia and Nevada, each of which Biden won by fewer than 3 points.[98]. Incumbent Rob Portman (R), who was first elected in 2010, did not run for re-election. If the chief magistrate is unpopular, the party controlling the White House always loses ground, sometimes dramatically. Inhofe announced he would resign from office effective January 3, 2023. Special elections to United States Senate are often required in the event of vacancies. We defend our constitution and stand up against global agendas for the individual rights and fundamental freedoms of all Australians. Hover over a state for more information. At the time of the election, three independent election forecasters rated the general election as Solid Republican or Safe Republican. One Nation and UAP preferences . President Joe Biden (D) won New Hampshire by 7.3 percentage points in 2020. But even if Democrats lose seats, it seems unlikely it would be anywhere near the number that Obama (6 seats) or Clinton (8 seats) saw in their first midterm election. There was no more eye-popping spread than in New Hampshire, though. Primary elections, however, can provide insight on future elections as they help dictate the direction each party takes. In Nevadas Senate race, Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto was able to win the support of 48 percent of independents, compared to the 45 percent of independents who supported Republican Adam Laxalt, exit polls show. .split-cols-c-list { Whatever else is going on, midterm elections most notably operate as referenda on the president of the United States. Incumbent Marco Rubio (R) defeated Val Demings (D) and seven other candidates in the general election for U.S. Senate in Florida on November 8, 2022. However, in those red-tinged states, it wasnt enough to hoist Democrats to the upset. Seats that changed party hands in previous election cycles, Presidential election results in 2022 Senate states, States with senators from different parties, Media analysis of 2022 U.S. Senate elections, Annual Congressional Competitiveness Report, 2020. Now Republicans are confident that Biden's sagging approval ratings in the key states will create a comparable undertow on Democrats. The narrowest margin in any U.S. Senate election in 2022 was 0.50 percentage points in the U.S. Senate election in Nevada between Catherine Cortez Masto (D) and Adam Laxalt (R). "I think Biden's numbers will very much drive the 2022 elections," says Republican consultant John Brabender. The following table shows the 2020 presidential election margin of victory in percentage points for each state with a Senate election in 2022. State by state, those numbers come through in news networks exit polling (which provides an incomplete but early look at how an electorate behaved during an election) and other post-election surveys. Governor Spencer Cox (R) signed SB170 into law, moving the candidate filing deadline to March 4, 2022. The court also suspended candidate filing, which subsequently resumed on February 24, 2022, and concluded on March 4, 2022. The original filing deadline was set for March 11, 2022. The Maryland Court of Appeals extended the candidate filing deadline from February 22, 2022, to March 22, 2022. Only four Democratic seats are considered competitive: Arizona, Georgia, New Hampshire and Nevada. We are a party that stands for Australia and Australian values. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Schmitt was appointed attorney general of Missouri in January 2019. At the time of the 2022 election, the last time a Democratic candidate won a statewide election in Missouri was in 2012, when U.S. Sen. Claire McCaskill and Gov. At the start of the 2022 election cycle, Inside Elections rated this state Battleground Republican.[74]. In six of seven key Senate races, the Democratic nominee won over those who somewhat disapproved of Biden. The court also extended the filing deadline from March 22, 2022, to April 15, 2022. This number includes Sen. Jim Inhofe's (R-Okla.) seat, up for a special election on November 8, 2022. The smallest incumbent margin was Cortez Masto, though Bidens 45% approval was the highest for any incumbent on the defense. "[35], Demings was elected to the U.S. House in 2016, representing Florida's 10th Congressional District. Laxalt is the grandson of former Nevada governor and U.S. These results are unusual for a midterm election: Coming into the 2022 election, the presidents party had lost Senate seats in 13 of the last 19 midterm elections, with an average loss of roughly five seats. As of December 2022, 67 special elections to the United States Congress were called during the 113th through 117th Congresses. These results suggest that Republicans have a slight edge in the 2022 Senate elections when it comes to potential seat swing based on the fundamentals in these races. "[30] Kelly's campaign website highlighted affordable health care, providing competitive educational opportunities, increasing wages to cover the cost of living, and funding federal benefits like Social Security and Medicare as policy goals in Washington. [58][59], Laxalt focused on economic issues and said Cortez Masto's support for President Biden's economic initiatives contributed to the rise in inflation. Join the discussion. "If he boosts her vote, her party gets more public funding. History is, of course, a guide that presidents typically lose seats in their first midterm elections, at least in the House, but also often in the Senate. Wed 13 Apr 2022 02.55 EDT First published on Tue 12 Apr 2022 17.19 EDT The former federal Liberal National party MP George Christensen has defected to One Nation and will run for the. There are institutional implications for the Senate as well. As of October 19, 2022, Hassan spent $36.7 million. [71][72] Beasley said she was running to "fight to lower costs, create good-paying jobs and expand access to affordable, quality health care in every part of North Carolina."[73]. "[50] Based on pre-general election reports filed with the FEC, Schmitt cumulatively raised $5.7 million and spent $5.5 million. [66] In 2020, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.) spent $19 million on her re-election bid, and challenger Bryant Messner (R) spent $7 million. [3] The other special election was held to fill the final weeks of the six-year term that Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) was elected to in 2016 before becoming vice president. Terruso also wrote, "Both candidates have slammed the others events as evidence of the others weaknesses. The dark money group has spent over $2.8 million this cycle on TV ads and hundreds of thousands of dollars on digital ads tracked by OpenSecrets. We need to get control of our border. Thirty five seats 14 held by Democrats and 21[4] held by Republicans were up for election in 2022. Trump won the state over Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016 by 1.2 percentage points. The absolute fealty to Trump is only part of the change this class of candidates would herald. House elections are simply more susceptible to the national electoral environment than Senate elections. Consequently, sample ballots in different jurisdictions in the same state may . Sen. Maggie Hassan, the Democrat who won reelection in New Hampshire, meanwhile, won a similar share of independents: 54 percent of the group that made up a plurality of voters. In Georgia, the Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker underperformed Gov. The vocal critic of COVID-19 restrictions and vaccinations had declared his intention to retire from Parliament, after holding the regional Queensland seat of Dawson for the Nationals since 2010. He was treasurer of Missouri from 2017 to 2019, and a member of the Missouri State Senate from 2008 to 2016. One Nation puts Australia and Australians first.. Hillary Clinton (D) won the state in the 2016 presidential election by 0.3 percentage points. Four of those seven states had Senate seats up for election in 2022. The election race is on. Why the asymmetry? In almost every single Senate race with an incumbent, Independents backed the eventual winnersome by a significant margin. [] We must make more stuff in America, cut taxes for working families, [and] Congress shouldn't play in the stock market. Incumbent Mark Kelly (D) defeated Blake Masters (R) in the general election for one of Arizona's U.S. Senate seats on November 8, 2022. In 2016, Murkowski was re-elected after defeating second-place finisher Joe Miller (L) 44.4% to 29.2%. [98], Midterms are generally challenging for the presidents party because they are a referendum on the party in power. In the 2020 Senate election cycle, Democrats flipped four seats and Republicans flipped one: This section includes commentary on the 2022 U.S. Senate elections both before and after November 8. Ozs campaign points to Fettermans 10-minute speeches and refusal to take reporter or audience questions afterward in an attempt to cast doubt on Fettermans health. The Senate map was relatively favorable for Democrats, considering Biden won six of the eight initial battleground states. 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